bookmark_borderThe Age of Loss and Damage

The Unfolding Crisis: Climate Change, Exponential Loss, and the Imperative for Action

by Daniel Brouse

Human-induced climate change has become an exponential force in an unordered system, echoing the principles of chaos theory. Dr. Christopher Trisos of the University of Cape Town aptly describes our current predicament as the “Age of Loss and Damage.” Despite being in its early stages, the repercussions for people, other species, ecosystems, and our world are already heart-wrenching, as emphasized in a BBC interview.

As of July 2023, the Earth’s average temperature surged to 17℃, a stark contrast to the 20th-century average of 13.9℃. The gravity of the situation was underscored by UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres in September 2023 when he declared that “climate breakdown has begun,” following the hottest Northern Hemisphere summer in recorded human history.

This climate breakdown is characterized by the creation of feedback loops and the crossing of tipping points. The consequences are dire: plant extinction, the disappearance of vital carbon sinks, and an unrelenting acceleration of the Earth’s temperature at an exponential pace. The threat extends beyond mere inconvenience; it jeopardizes our access to food, fresh water, and breathable air, potentially rendering our planet inhospitable to human life.

The European Space Agency’s Copernicus Climate Change Service reported a record-breaking average temperature of 16.38 degrees Celsius in September 2023, marking an alarming half-degree Celsius increase from the previous record set in 2020. Copernicus Director Carlo Buontempo rightly emphasized the severity of these changes, not as weather statistics but as a death sentence for people and ecosystems.

The UN’s Emission Gap Report in November 2023 delivered a sobering revelation: even if countries fulfill their emissions reduction pledges, global warming is projected to exceed +3°C this century. The International Cryosphere Climate Initiative echoed this sentiment, proclaiming that a 2-degree limit is dangerously high. The stark reality is that the melting of ice, indifferent to rhetoric, demands urgent action.

New Economics: Rethinking Economic Models in the Face of Crisis

Human-induced climate change, operating exponentially in an unordered system, necessitates a paradigm shift in economic thinking. The Age of Loss and Damage integrates economics, climate science, statistics, and physics to redefine how we perceive and address the economic impacts of climate change.

Traditional economic models, particularly “integrated assessment models” (IAMs), fall short in capturing the full spectrum of climate damage. IAMs rely on a quadratic function, squaring temperature changes to calculate GDP losses, while ignoring more suitable methods like the exponential function for rapid shifts. Thierry Philipponnat’s report from Finance Watch calls for a reevaluation of economic models to address the growing disruption of climate risk in the financial system.

However, even scientists struggle to comprehend and predict the rapid acceleration of climate change. The Domino Effect, or “tipping cascades,” reveals the underestimation of social-ecological systems. Record-breaking physical and economic impacts in 2023 served as a wake-up call, highlighting the urgency of understanding and mitigating climate-related tipping cascades.

Exponential Impact on Health, Real Estate, and Infrastructure

Climate change poses significant threats to human health, impacting air quality, water supply, and contributing to extreme weather events. Deadly humid heat emerges as a major short-term risk, with mental distress affecting most survivors of climate-related disasters. Anxiety related to climate change is reported by more than two-thirds of U.S. adults who have not experienced climate disasters.

Widespread challenges in food, energy, and water security, coupled with the unsustainability of infrastructure, signal the profound implications of a warmer world. Real estate, from personal property to essential infrastructure, faces increasing risks due to climate change. Dr. Sidd Mukherjee’s insights into violent rain events and storm surges emphasize the need for proactive measures and managed retreat strategies.

Litigation and Change: A Catalyst for Transformation

The catalyst for transformative change may lie in loss and damage litigation against oil companies and governments. Comparable to the tobacco industry’s reckoning, consumers may hold oil companies accountable for misleading information about the dangers of fossil fuels. Children globally are filing lawsuits against governments, asserting their basic human rights to a clean environment.

Conclusion: Welcome to the Age of Loss and Damage

Tipping points triggered by climate change threaten to release stored CO2 in nature, with potentially catastrophic consequences. The Earth’s temperature, already at risk of exceeding 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, faces the prospect of an additional 6-degree rise. This trajectory is untenable, rendering vast regions of the Earth uninhabitable.

For the first time, global warming is set to continue regardless of human actions. While we cannot reverse the damage already done, immediate cessation of greenhouse gas emissions is imperative. Simultaneously, adapting our habitat to impede nature’s greenhouse gas emissions becomes a crucial strategy.

Our climate model uses chaos theory in an attempt to adequately account for humans and forecasts a global average temperature increase of 9 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. The Age of Loss and Damage has arrived, demanding a collective response.

What Can You Do?

Individual actions matter in the face of this crisis. Reduce pollution, transition away from fossil fuels, consume less, and embrace love and compassion. The responsibility to protect our planet rests on every individual. Here is a list of additional actions you can take.
The Age of Loss and Damage / Brouse (2023)

How is All Real Estate at Risk From Climate Change? / Brouse and Mukherjee (2024)
Toppled Tipping Points: The Domino Effect / Brouse and Mukherjee (2023)
Tipping Cascades, Social-Ecological Systems, and the Hottest Year in History / Brouse (2024)

The Human Induced Climate Change Experiment

 

bookmark_borderFree and Natural Air Purifiers in the Philadelphia Area

By Daniel Brouse

Air pollution is: a leading cause of death worldwide, the leading cause of climate change, and the greatest threat to humankind.

Herbs, Spruce, Aromatic Plants, and Phytoncides
Plants are natural air filters and can increase your indoor air quality.

There is not much an individual can do about the outdoor air quality; however, there is a lot one can do to improve their individual air quality.

The EPA reports, risks from long-term exposure to indoor pollution “include some respiratory diseases, heart disease and cancer, can be severely debilitating or fatal. It is prudent to try to improve the indoor air quality in your home even if symptoms are not noticeable.”

In the Spring of 2023, wildfires in Canada made the symptoms noticeable to many residents in the United States. Outdoor air quality measured hazardous for days in a row. When people could see and smell the air quality, it became obvious. Their indoor air quality also became noticeably poor.

With extreme weather events increasingly impacting both outdoor and indoor air quality, a long-term breathing experiment is underway.

1. Origin of Virgin Air
Where is the air you are breathing coming from? The more outside air brought into the living space, then the more need for air purification. Filters that clean all the contaminants out of the air are both expensive and difficult to keep maintained. On the other hand, many houses are becoming over insulated in an effort to improve their energy efficiency. Unfortunately the more airtight a dwelling is, then the more the internally generated pollution will impact air quality and life expectancy.

2. Purify the Air: Plants
No matter where your virgin air comes from, most likely the best way to purify the air is with plants.

The most famous study was conducted by NASA to remove formaldehyde from the air and found spider plants removed 95 percent of the toxic substance from a sealed Plexiglas chamber in 24 hours.

As part of the long-term breathing experiment we have cultivated multiple generations of spider plants. They are a great place for a novice to get started. Spider plants thrive in bright to moderate light. In the spring and summer, once-a-week watering is sufficient. During the winter, the soil should dry between waterings. (Spider plants are almost as easy to care for as cacti.) Snake plants are also easy to grow in all kinds of lighting situations, require little watering, and are one of the best air purifying plants.

Aromatic Plants and Phytoncides
Almost all plants are good for air purification. The spider plant and snake plants are great for taking pollutants out of the air, as well as optimize sustainability. The long-term breathing experiment is also looking at adding to the air quality.

Aromatherapy and Forest Bathing are easy to implement in your natural air purification experiment. Many plants can help take contaminants out of the air while adding medicinal properties to the air. Rosemary, mints, basil, sage, and most other herbs can add anti-bacterial, anti-depressant, anti-anxiety, stress, pain relief and other beneficial properties to air quality.

During the Air Quality Crisis of 2023, the long-term breathing experiment collided with the Tree Extinction Experiment. As part of the tree experiment, we grow a small nursery of trees in containers. Their main purpose is usually outside to act as a windblock for the structure to help reduce heating and cooling energy needs. Luckily, during the hazardous air quality days we were able to bring some (spruce and oak) inside to help purify the air and add phytoncides. The US Department of Agriculture reports, “These chemicals are natural oils that plants use to defend themselves against unwanted pests such as insects, bacteria or fungi. Phytoncides improve the human immune system by increasing natural killer cell activity. These cells respond rapidly to virus-infected cells and tumor formation. Studies show that increased natural cell activity can last for more than 30 days after a trip to a forest, suggesting that a trip once a month would enable individuals to maintain a higher level of natural killer cell activity. Other benefits from phytoncides include an increase in anti-cancer proteins; a reduction in blood pressure, heart rate and stress hormones; reduced test scores for anxiety, depression, anger, fatigue, and confusion; and increased scores for vigor.”

Trees known to produce especially high levels of phytoncides include the evergreen trees (Cedars, Spruces, Conifers and Pine) and Oak trees.

More on Clean Water, Air, and Healthy Plants

More Things You Can Do to Help the Environment and Your Health

bookmark_borderCOVID, Air Quality, Exercise, and Nutrition

The air quality in Southern Pennsylvania can be very detrimental to your health. Poor air quality also increases your risk of contracting COVID, as well as, increasing the severity of the disease.
Air Quality for Southeastern Pennsylvania
COVID-19 and Air Pollution
NAD+ Plus Immune System Diet